Monthly Review · Public preview
Mexico Leads a Fragmented Monthly Deterioration Review
Bootstrap period | Reviewed weekly deterioration | Weeks 06–09
Public read
M2 2026 was more fragmented than M1. Mexico formed the clearest in-month recurring deterioration sequence, while Iran produced the month’s sharpest single-week escalation at the end of the period. Nigeria and Pakistan defined the early-month security picture, and Senegal, Serbia, and Albania formed the clearest mid-month protest and legitimacy cluster.
This public preview shows the main monthly reading. The complete version is available inside the DriftSignals Observatory, with full sequence logic, country continuity, evidence notes, confidence notes, and follow-up interpretation.
February 2026 in brief
- Lead case
- Mexico
- Published weeks
- 4/4
- Recurring sequence
- MEX
- Mechanism
- Political violence / cartel retaliation
Observatory access
Full access opens the complete Monthly Review: monthly lead-case treatment, additional country sequences, persistence assessment, evidence notes, country continuity, confidence notes, and forward watchpoints.
Complete monthly record available in the Observatory